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Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers – 11/12/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

The Philadelphia 76ers travel to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat at the American Airlines Arena on Monday night.

The Philadelphia 76ers have won six of their last nine games but they will be looking to bounce back after having their two-game win streak snapped by the Grizzlies in a 112-106 overtime loss on Saturday. JJ Redick led the team in scoring with 20 points, Ben Simmons added 18 points with 14 rebounds and five assists, Joel Embiid scored 14 points with 16 rebounds and five assists while TJ McConnell chipped in with 16 points and seven assists off the bench. As a team, the 76ers shot 51 percent from the field and eight of 31 from the three-point line but they managed just 43 points in the second half and overtime combined as the Grizzlies ran down a 13-point halftime deficit to win in overtime. To be fair, the 76ers were shorthanded for this game as Robert Covington, Dario Saric and Jerryd Bayless all sat out because they were traded to the Timberwolves for Jimmy Butler.

Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers - 11/12/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in rough shape as they’ve lost five of their last seven games and they will be hoping to avoid a third straight loss after falling to the struggling Wizards in a 116-110 home loss on Saturday. Josh Richardson led the team with 24 points and five assists, Rodney McGruder added 22 points while Hassan Whiteside chipped in with 15 points, 14 rebounds and four blocks. As a team, the Heat shot 44 percent from the field and 12 of 33 from the three-point line but after three closely contested quarters, the Heat just had no answer for the Wizards who opened the fourth quarter on a 31-12 run. Goran Dragic returned from a two-game absence but struggled mightily as he missed all of his seven shot attempts to finish scoreless.

Looking at the betting trends, the 76ers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a losing record and 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The Heat are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games, 1-5 ATS in their last six home games against a team with a losing road record and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Head to head, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings, the favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and the 76ers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

The 76ers have been playing some solid basketball lately but they’re coming off a tough overtime loss and are now having to deal with a major roster shakeup as they traded three players and a pick for Jimmy Butler. The Heat have really been struggling lately and they’re coming into this one fresh off a loss to the Wizards who have been losing to everyone lately, so they will be lacking confidence coming into this one. This one could go either way and there’s no dominant betting trends as the 76ers have been a poor road team to bet on while the Heat have been poor at home. With that being said, I’m sticking with the 76ers to bounce back as they are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

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